Forecast e8eca84e · published 2026-09-07
What was claimed
Confidence at publication
What happened
Interval 0.0-31.3 covered the observed 2.0 (down) in 2026-W41; point estimate was 8.7 (up).
Observed history
How we know
Evidence
Confidence
Source diversity
2 sources
Last updated
2026-09-07
Reality validation
How this forecast was made
Track record for healthcare
9 forecasts published, 3 scored, mean accuracy 24%.
Primary sources