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Forecast 793b3d5d · published 2026-07-26

job postings count for role 'data scientist' is forecast at 7 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 4-9 at 80% confidence (down from 8 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

Partially confirmed

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Aug 17–23, 2026
Predicted mentions
7 job postings
Direction
↓ Falling
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-08-23
Expires
2026-08-30

Confidence at publication

Early signal

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions
0 job postings
Off by
7 postings
Accuracy
0%
Direction
✓ Called correctly
Predicted range
✗ Actual fell outside it

Interval 4.0-9.4 missed the observed 0.0 (down) in 2026-W34; point estimate was 6.7 (down).

Observed history

data scientist — the series behind the fit

Jun 15–21, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 6–12, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 13–19, 2026: 4 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 3 mentions

How we know

Evidence

33+

Confidence

Early signal

Source diversity

0 sources

Last updated

2026-07-26

Reality validation

Predicted
6.71
Actual
0
Accuracy
0%
Direction
called correctly

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-08-23
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for data scientist

4 forecasts published, 4 scored, mean accuracy 57%.

No source documents resolve for this artefact.