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Forecast f3815e48 · published 2026-07-26

job postings count for role 'ml engineer' is forecast at 23 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 20-26 at 80% confidence (up from 20 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

Partially confirmed

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Aug 17–23, 2026
Predicted mentions
23 job postings
Direction
↑ Rising
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-08-23
Expires
2026-08-30

Confidence at publication

Moderate signal

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions
8 job postings
Off by
15 postings
Accuracy
35%
Direction
✓ Called correctly
Predicted range
✗ Actual fell outside it

Interval 20.3-25.7 missed the observed 8.0 (up) in 2026-W34; point estimate was 23.0 (up).

Observed history

ml engineer — the series behind the fit

Jun 15–21, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 6–12, 2026: 1 mentionsJul 13–19, 2026: 2 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 7 mentions

How we know

Evidence

40+

Confidence

Moderate signal

Source diversity

0 sources

Last updated

2026-07-26

Reality validation

Predicted
23.01
Actual
8
Accuracy
35%
Direction
called correctly

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-08-23
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for ml engineer

6 forecasts published, 6 scored, mean accuracy 65%.

No source documents resolve for this artefact.