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Forecast 0f81a34e · published 2026-07-26
job postings count for role 'program manager' is forecast at 14 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 12-16 at 80% confidence (up from 10 in Jul 20–26, 2026).
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Aug 17–23, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 14 job postings
- Direction
- ↑ Rising
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-08-23
- Expires
- 2026-08-30
Confidence at publication
46%
What happened
Outcome
Not yet scored. This forecast is still inside its review window, so nothing here is proven — it is a claim awaiting a verdict.
Observed history
program manager — the series behind the fit
Jun 15–21, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 4 mentionsJul 6–12, 2026: 4 mentionsJul 13–19, 2026: 3 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 6 mentions
How we know
Evidence
40+
Confidence
46%
Source diversity
0 sources
Last updated
2026-07-26
Reality validation
Not yet scored against reality.
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-08-23
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for program manager
8 forecasts published, 4 scored, mean accuracy 79%.
No source documents resolve for this artefact.