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Forecast 5455df86 · published 2026-07-26

job postings count for skill 'ai literacy' is forecast at 11 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 8-14 at 80% confidence (up from 7 in May 25–31, 2026).

Confirmed

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Jun 22–28, 2026
Predicted mentions
11 job postings
Direction
↑ Rising
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-06-28
Expires
2026-07-05

Confidence at publication

Early signal

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions
12 job postings
Off by
1 postings
Accuracy
89%
Direction
✓ Called correctly
Predicted range
✓ Actual fell inside it

Interval 7.7-13.7 covered the observed 12.0 (up) in 2026-W26; point estimate was 10.7 (up).

Observed history

ai literacy — the series behind the fit

May 4–10, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 11–17, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 18–24, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 25–31, 2026: 0 mentions

How we know

Evidence

23+

Confidence

Early signal

Source diversity

0 sources

Last updated

2026-07-26

Reality validation

Predicted
10.7
Actual
12
Accuracy
89%
Direction
called correctly

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-06-28
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for ai literacy

13 forecasts published, 13 scored, mean accuracy 37%.

No source documents resolve for this artefact.