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Forecast 5455df86 · published 2026-07-26
job postings count for skill 'ai literacy' is forecast at 11 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 8-14 at 80% confidence (up from 7 in May 25–31, 2026).
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Jun 22–28, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 11 job postings
- Direction
- ↑ Rising
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-06-28
- Expires
- 2026-07-05
Confidence at publication
28%
What happened
Outcome
- Actual mentions
- 12 job postings
- Off by
- 1 postings
- Accuracy
- 89%
- Direction
- ✓ Called correctly
Interval 7.7-13.7 covered the observed 12.0 (up) in 2026-W26; point estimate was 10.7 (up).
Observed history
ai literacy — the series behind the fit
May 4–10, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 11–17, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 18–24, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 25–31, 2026: 0 mentions
How we know
Evidence
23+
Confidence
28%
Source diversity
0 sources
Last updated
2026-07-26
Reality validation
- Predicted
- 10.7
- Actual
- 12
- Accuracy
- 89%
- Direction
- called correctly
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-06-28
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for ai literacy
8 forecasts published, 4 scored, mean accuracy 86%.
No source documents resolve for this artefact.