job postings count for skill 'machine learning' is forecast at 29 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 24-34 at 80% confidence (up from 28 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

Partially confirmed

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period: Aug 17–23, 2026
Predicted mentions: 29 job postings
Direction: ↑ Rising
Method: Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by: 2026-08-23
Expires: 2026-08-30

Confidence at publication

Moderate signal

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions: 69 job postings
Off by: 40 postings
Accuracy: 42%
Direction: ✓ Called correctly
Predicted range: ✗ Actual fell outside it

Interval 24.3-34.3 missed the observed 69.0 (up) in 2026-W34; point estimate was 29.3 (up).

Observed history

machine learning — the series behind the fit

Jun 15–21, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 6–12, 2026: 1 mentionsJul 13–19, 2026: 3 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 9 mentions

How we know

Evidence

40+

Confidence

Moderate signal

Source diversity

0 sources

Last updated

2026-07-26

Reality validation

Predicted: 29.3
Actual: 69
Accuracy: 42%
Direction: called correctly

How this forecast was made

Approach: Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead: 4 weeks
Checked against reality by: 2026-08-23
Can it be edited?: No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for machine learning

10 forecasts published, 10 scored, mean accuracy 56%.

No source documents resolve for this artefact.