job postings count for skill 'risk management' is forecast at 21 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 16-26 at 80% confidence (up from 14 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

Missed

What was claimed

The forecast

Confidence at publication

Early signal

What happened

Interval 16.1-25.5 missed the observed 13.0 (down) in 2026-W27; point estimate was 20.8 (up).

Observed history

May 4–10, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 11–17, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 18–24, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 25–31, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 1–7, 2026: 0 mentions

How we know

Evidence

40+

Confidence

Early signal

Source diversity

0 sources

Last updated

2026-07-26

Reality validation

How this forecast was made

Approach: Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead: 4 weeks
Checked against reality by: 2026-07-05
Can it be edited?: No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for risk management

14 forecasts published, 8 scored, mean accuracy 45%.

No source documents resolve for this artefact.