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Forecast 0ac4c029 · published 2026-07-26
job postings count for skill 'security' is forecast at 16 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 8-23 at 80% confidence (down from 22 in Jul 20–26, 2026).
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Aug 17–23, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 16 job postings
- Direction
- ↓ Falling
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-08-23
- Expires
- 2026-08-30
Confidence at publication
16%
What happened
Outcome
Not yet scored. This forecast is still inside its review window, so nothing here is proven — it is a claim awaiting a verdict.
Observed history
security — the series behind the fit
Jun 15–21, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 4 mentionsJul 6–12, 2026: 1 mentionsJul 13–19, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 22 mentions
How we know
Evidence
40+
Confidence
16%
Source diversity
1 source
100% from one source — treat as narrow
Last updated
2026-07-26
Reality validation
Not yet scored against reality.
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-08-23
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for security
8 forecasts published, 4 scored, mean accuracy 76%.
Primary sources