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Forecast b93ce4fa · published 2026-07-26

job postings count for skill 'stakeholder management' is forecast at 23 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 19-28 at 80% confidence (up from 21 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

Missed

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Aug 17–23, 2026
Predicted mentions
23 job postings
Direction
↑ Rising
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-08-23
Expires
2026-08-30

Confidence at publication

Moderate signal

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions
7 job postings
Off by
16 postings
Accuracy
30%
Direction
✗ Missed
Predicted range
✗ Actual fell outside it

Interval 18.6-27.8 missed the observed 7.0 (down) in 2026-W34; point estimate was 23.2 (up).

Observed history

stakeholder management — the series behind the fit

Jun 15–21, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 6–12, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 13–19, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 5 mentions

How we know

Evidence

40+

Confidence

Moderate signal

Source diversity

0 sources

Last updated

2026-07-26

Reality validation

Predicted
23.22
Actual
7
Accuracy
30%
Direction
missed

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-08-23
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for stakeholder management

15 forecasts published, 9 scored, mean accuracy 41%.

No source documents resolve for this artefact.