SHIOSStrategic Honesty Intelligence
All forecasts

Forecast fd308863 · published 2026-07-26

job postings count for technology 'anthropic api' is forecast at 8 in Jul 6–12, 2026, within 6-9 at 80% confidence (up from 5 in Jun 8–14, 2026).

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Jul 6–12, 2026
Predicted mentions
8 job postings
Direction
↑ Rising
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-07-12
Expires
2026-07-19

Confidence at publication

38%

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions
11 job postings
Off by
3 postings
Accuracy
70%
Direction
✓ Called correctly

Interval 6.0-9.4 missed the observed 11.0 (up) in 2026-W28; point estimate was 7.7 (up).

Observed history

anthropic api — the series behind the fit

May 4–10, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 11–17, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 18–24, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 25–31, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 1–7, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 8–14, 2026: 0 mentions

How we know

Evidence

27+

Confidence

38%

Source diversity

0 sources

Last updated

2026-07-26

Reality validation

Predicted
7.66
Actual
11
Accuracy
70%
Direction
called correctly

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-07-12
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for anthropic api

8 forecasts published, 4 scored, mean accuracy 81%.

No source documents resolve for this artefact.