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Forecast b9d4fda2 · published 2026-07-26
job postings count for technology 'aws' is forecast at 15 in Jul 6–12, 2026, within 8-23 at 80% confidence (up from 12 in Jun 8–14, 2026).
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Jul 6–12, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 15 job postings
- Direction
- ↑ Rising
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-07-12
- Expires
- 2026-07-19
Confidence at publication
21%
What happened
Outcome
- Actual mentions
- 24 job postings
- Off by
- 9 postings
- Accuracy
- 64%
- Direction
- ✓ Called correctly
Interval 7.8-23.1 missed the observed 24.0 (up) in 2026-W28; point estimate was 15.5 (up).
Observed history
aws — the series behind the fit
May 4–10, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 11–17, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 18–24, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 25–31, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 1–7, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 8–14, 2026: 0 mentions
How we know
Evidence
40+
Confidence
21%
Source diversity
0 sources
Last updated
2026-07-26
Reality validation
- Predicted
- 15.46
- Actual
- 24
- Accuracy
- 64%
- Direction
- called correctly
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-07-12
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for aws
8 forecasts published, 4 scored, mean accuracy 76%.
No source documents resolve for this artefact.