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Forecast 5ab99e53 · published 2026-07-26

job postings count for technology 'docker' is forecast at 0 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 0-5 at 80% confidence (down from 2 in May 25–31, 2026).

Missed

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Jun 22–28, 2026
Predicted mentions
1 job postings
Direction
↓ Falling
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-06-28
Expires
2026-07-05

Confidence at publication

Early signal

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions
5 job postings
Off by
5 postings
Accuracy
10%
Direction
✗ Missed
Predicted range
✗ Actual fell outside it

Interval 0.0-4.9 missed the observed 5.0 (up) in 2026-W26; point estimate was 0.5 (down).

Observed history

docker — the series behind the fit

May 4–10, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 11–17, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 18–24, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 25–31, 2026: 0 mentions

How we know

Evidence

13

Confidence

Early signal

Source diversity

0 sources

Last updated

2026-07-26

Reality validation

Predicted
0.5
Actual
5
Accuracy
10%
Direction
missed

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-06-28
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for docker

14 forecasts published, 14 scored, mean accuracy 22%.

No source documents resolve for this artefact.