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Forecast 5ab99e53 · published 2026-07-26
job postings count for technology 'docker' is forecast at 0 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 0-5 at 80% confidence (down from 2 in May 25–31, 2026).
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Jun 22–28, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 1 job postings
- Direction
- ↓ Falling
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-06-28
- Expires
- 2026-07-05
Confidence at publication
18%
What happened
Outcome
- Actual mentions
- 5 job postings
- Off by
- 5 postings
- Accuracy
- 10%
- Direction
- ✗ Missed
Interval 0.0-4.9 missed the observed 5.0 (up) in 2026-W26; point estimate was 0.5 (down).
Observed history
docker — the series behind the fit
May 4–10, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 11–17, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 18–24, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 25–31, 2026: 0 mentions
How we know
Evidence
13
Confidence
18%
Source diversity
0 sources
Last updated
2026-07-26
Reality validation
- Predicted
- 0.5
- Actual
- 5
- Accuracy
- 10%
- Direction
- missed
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-06-28
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for docker
8 forecasts published, 4 scored, mean accuracy 30%.
No source documents resolve for this artefact.