Weekly Report · May 13–19, 2024 → Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026: security mentions fell from 200 to 43. Weekly counts here swing widely, so read this as a snapshot, not a trend.
Window: May 13–19, 2024 to Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.
What moved
| Signal | Type | Job postings this week | Change | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| security | skill | 43 | −157 (-78%) | down |
| agile delivery | skill | 59 | −114 (-66%) | down |
| reporting | skill | 48 | −101 (-68%) | down |
| financial services | skill | 12 | −95 (-89%) | down |
| communication | skill | 109 | +84 (+336%) | up |
What we expect next
- Around 15 job postings mentioning azure are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–36, 80% coverage) — up from 13 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026. Confidence 0.09, review by 2026-11-08.
- Around 25 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–62, 80% confidence) — down from 54 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026. Confidence 0.09, review by 2026-11-08.
- Around 15 job postings mentioning azure are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–36, 80% confidence) — down from 37 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026. Confidence 0.07, review by 2026-11-01.
- Around 24 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–60, 80% confidence) — down from 66 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026. Confidence 0.07, review by 2026-11-01.
- Around 11 job postings mentioning confluence are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–27, 80% confidence) — roughly flat from 11 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026. Confidence 0.07, review by 2026-11-08.
What we recommend
- student: Prioritise skills in product ownership. Job postings mentioning product ownership are up 100% over the last 6 weeks, and the next 4w forecast points the same way. (confidence 0.14)
- investor: Watch skills in product ownership. Job postings mentioning product ownership are up 100% over the last 6 weeks, and the next 4w forecast points the same way. (confidence 0.14)
- executive: Fund skills in product ownership. Job postings mentioning product ownership are up 100% over the last 6 weeks, and the next 4w forecast points the same way. (confidence 0.14)
- manager: Plan for skills in product ownership. Job postings mentioning product ownership are up 100% over the last 6 weeks, and the next 4w forecast points the same way. (confidence 0.14)
What we do not know
- Posting volume is a proxy for demand, and it lags actual hiring.
- Only the configured sources are represented. Everything else is absent, not zero.
Track record: 358 forecasts scored, mean accuracy 0.38, calibration delta -0.35 — the system has been overconfident and has lowered its own confidence accordingly.
How we know
Evidence
40+
Confidence
not claimed — this is a count
Source diversity
2 sources
98% from one source — treat as narrow
Last updated
2026-09-28
Reality validation
Not yet scored against reality.
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Primary sources