Forecasts
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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting rising demand for Agile Delivery and cooling demand for Product Manager — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

176 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 8 job postings mentioning confluence are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–24, 80% coverage) — down from 38 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

6053deac

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 7 job postings mentioning agile certification are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–26, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

34e5ad6e

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 7 job postings mentioning cloud architecture are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–24, 80% coverage) — up from 3 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

01ade835

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 9 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–23, 80% coverage) — down from 34 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

d71004b8

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 9 job postings for agile coach roles are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–29, 80% coverage) — down from 15 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

43c2d368

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 9 job postings mentioning financial acumen are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–31, 80% coverage) — up from 8 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

24029ced

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 9 job postings mentioning healthcare are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–31, 80% coverage) — up from 5 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

e8eca84e

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 10 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–35, 80% coverage) — down from 15 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

67cf3240

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 10 job postings mentioning product ownership are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–37, 80% coverage) — up from 5 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

3ecaede2

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 14 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–42, 80% coverage) — down from 47 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

9a7f72e0

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 14 job postings mentioning langchain are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–41, 80% coverage) — down from 56 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

17b70eb6

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 19 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–49, 80% coverage) — down from 61 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

870b1074

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 23 job postings mentioning coaching are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–73, 80% coverage) — down from 72 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

02e1eb8a

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 21 job postings mentioning security are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–72, 80% coverage) — up from 14 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

adfcaa2b

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 27 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–81, 80% coverage) — up from 23 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

4bdfd0a8

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 41 job postings mentioning anthropic api are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–117, 80% coverage) — down from 114 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

42cf66c4

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 5 job postings mentioning scrum ceremonies are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–19, 80% coverage) — down from 23 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

d4bbc50d

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 7 job postings mentioning agile certification are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–26, 80% coverage) — down from 37 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

99036b56

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 8 job postings for agile coach roles are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–29, 80% coverage) — down from 76 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

476b12ae

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 12 job postings mentioning llm are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–54, 80% coverage) — down from 358 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

5f08ab92

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
25+→
Confirmed
Around 9 job postings mentioning healthcare are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–31, 80% coverage) — down from 59 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

3dd331ff

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 10 job postings mentioning product ownership are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–37, 80% coverage) — down from 54 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

96e04706

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 9 job postings mentioning financial acumen are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–31, 80% coverage) — down from 74 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

78c73a4e

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 14 job postings mentioning langchain are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–41, 80% coverage) — down from 56 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

7eeece8e

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 17 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–46, 80% coverage) — down from 161 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

25ce3208

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
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