Forecasts
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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting cooling demand for Software Engineer — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

95 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 7 job postings mentioning mentoring are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–25, 80% coverage) — down from 104 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

244a5933

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 7 job postings mentioning aws are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–20, 80% coverage) — down from 36 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

3c544661

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 13 job postings mentioning communication are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–43, 80% coverage) — down from 152 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

b248dd02

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 17 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–52, 80% coverage) — down from 99 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

479b199d

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 19 job postings mentioning process improvement are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–59, 80% coverage) — down from 72 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

e69f0f34

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 21 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–60, 80% coverage) — down from 153 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

72742591

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 24 job postings mentioning program management are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–72, 80% coverage) — down from 163 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

0ff24cf2

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 8 job postings mentioning communication are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–33, 80% coverage) — down from 215 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

3e51cde8

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
29+→
Partially confirmed
Around 11 job postings mentioning project management are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–47, 80% coverage) — down from 312 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

75982e3a

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
26+→
Partially confirmed
Around 6 job postings mentioning confluence are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–21, 80% coverage) — down from 74 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

0b606f8a

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 8 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–21, 80% coverage) — down from 72 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

5dec2e7a

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 13 job postings mentioning change management are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–46, 80% coverage) — down from 210 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

948f2d75

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 19 job postings mentioning risk management are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–67, 80% coverage) — down from 368 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

3ba8026e

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 17 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–52, 80% coverage) — down from 219 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

81f7e55b

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 17 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–51, 80% coverage) — down from 233 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

e5ee0fc2

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 16 job postings mentioning process improvement are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–57, 80% coverage) — down from 185 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

0ab5c3f4

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 14 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–47, 80% coverage) — down from 205 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

770c3959

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 19 job postings mentioning program management are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–64, 80% coverage) — down from 250 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

b574965f

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 34 job postings mentioning stakeholder management are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–114, 80% coverage) — down from 465 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

f7d11576

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 12 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–40, 80% coverage) — down from 98 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

9ed7e709

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 5 job postings for software engineer roles are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–11, 80% coverage) — down from 20 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

ed11d115

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 8 job postings mentioning healthcare are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–34, 80% coverage) — down from 221 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

310356d4

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 10 job postings mentioning process improvement are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–45, 80% coverage) — down from 294 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

917f4c41

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
30+→
Partially confirmed
Around 11 job postings mentioning program management are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–46, 80% coverage) — down from 298 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

ce844aa1

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 19 job postings mentioning stakeholder management are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–80, 80% coverage) — down from 521 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

7a4369b3

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Partially confirmed
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