Forecasts
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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting cooling demand for Product Manager — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

263 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 25 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–62, 80% coverage) — down from 76 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

fd776a64

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 27 job postings mentioning process improvement are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–72, 80% coverage) — down from 114 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

de545669

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 31 job postings mentioning project management are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–86, 80% coverage) — down from 203 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

ba6323c2

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 29 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–70, 80% coverage) — down from 115 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

5b06b84b

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 34 job postings mentioning security are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–92, 80% coverage) — down from 200 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

4deb586b

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 32 job postings mentioning coaching are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–87, 80% coverage) — down from 146 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

b2c50485

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 35 job postings mentioning program management are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–89, 80% coverage) — down from 169 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

3d0c2335

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 34 job postings mentioning risk management are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–90, 80% coverage) — down from 124 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

b72a2205

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 38 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–99, 80% coverage) — down from 173 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

a3adbcbb

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 58 job postings mentioning stakeholder management are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–150, 80% coverage) — down from 263 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

0b77d740

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 10 job postings mentioning reporting are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–33, 80% coverage) — down from 184 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

49fa0a3b

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 10 job postings mentioning azure are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–27, 80% coverage) — down from 97 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

a0000a55

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 8 job postings mentioning aws are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–21, 80% coverage) — down from 19 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

bded302c

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 7 job postings mentioning mentoring are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–25, 80% coverage) — down from 8 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

c23b8b90

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 9 job postings mentioning cloud architecture are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–27, 80% coverage) — down from 53 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

9108881c

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 9 job postings mentioning confluence are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–25, 80% coverage) — down from 37 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

28ca3437

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 10 job postings for agile coach roles are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–31, 80% coverage) — down from 55 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

97ea0481

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 12 job postings mentioning healthcare are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–36, 80% coverage) — down from 90 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

028278c6

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 12 job postings mentioning financial acumen are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–36, 80% coverage) — down from 92 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

f820bc46

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 10 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–24, 80% coverage) — down from 31 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

aba7f055

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 12 job postings mentioning product ownership are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–40, 80% coverage) — down from 73 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

a6e1aa9f

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 13 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–39, 80% coverage) — down from 75 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

c4b30b43

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 13 job postings mentioning communication are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–43, 80% coverage) — down from 24 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

ee821a35

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 18 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–50, 80% coverage) — down from 140 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

f759e669

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 20 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–56, 80% coverage) — down from 95 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

b4128a2a

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
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