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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting rising demand for Insurance and cooling demand for Budget Management — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

263 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 57 job postings mentioning insurance are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–125, 80% coverage) — up from 35 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

02ec8c58

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 12 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–26, 80% coverage) — up from 5 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

30896a67

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning mentoring are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–34, 80% coverage) — up from 11 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

32b6acc4

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning team leadership are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–34, 80% coverage) — down from 21 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

7f20f3ae

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning healthcare are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–39, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

ac832c10

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning product ownership are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–41, 80% coverage) — up from 1 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

57684d42

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning budget management are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–35, 80% coverage) — down from 23 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

cf05e9e8

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning azure are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–36, 80% coverage) — up from 4 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

f48d9306

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning financial acumen are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–40, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

49213a3c

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–41, 80% coverage) — up from 2 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

3cdbbea3

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 16 job postings mentioning reporting are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–44, 80% coverage) — up from 1 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

c0123276

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 23 job postings mentioning communication are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–58, 80% coverage) — up from 15 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

126b2156

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 22 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–52, 80% coverage) — up from 3 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

6c2e0ad6

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 24 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–57, 80% coverage) — up from 10 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

fcba4408

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 26 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–63, 80% coverage) — up from 5 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

76cda105

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 32 job postings mentioning change management are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–72, 80% coverage) — up from 20 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

44243348

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 33 job postings mentioning process improvement are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–79, 80% coverage) — up from 20 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

3636dd4d

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 33 job postings mentioning security are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–90, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

cf322db4

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 35 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–75, 80% coverage) — up from 31 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

31383daf

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 34 job postings mentioning coaching are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–88, 80% coverage) — up from 3 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

1ab35a4f

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 39 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–98, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

045bbb0a

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 41 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–88, 80% coverage) — up from 34 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

459cc6e4

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 46 job postings mentioning program management are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–103, 80% coverage) — up from 27 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

7dc6fabd

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 51 job postings mentioning project management are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–115, 80% coverage) — up from 48 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

5d23f9ec

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 52 job postings mentioning risk management are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–117, 80% coverage) — up from 33 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.

06b96da5

Nov 16–22, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-22
40+→
Not yet resolved
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