Forecasts

Forecasts← Perspectives

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649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting rising demand for Program Manager and cooling demand for Product Manager — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →

Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35

Evidence40+ records

Signal maturityEarly signal

Typeskill_combination

View forecast →

Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32

Evidence40+ records

Signal maturityEarly signal

Typeskill_combination

View forecast →

Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38

Evidence40+ records

Signal maturityEarly signal

Typeskill_combination

View forecast →

Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34

Evidence40+ records

Signal maturityEarly signal

Typeskill

View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041

Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed

176 (46%)

Partially confirmed

95 (25%)

Missed

115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

95 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

All Active Confirmed Partially confirmed Missed

Forecast	Target	Confidence	Review by	Evidence	Status
Around 14 job postings mentioning coaching are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–60, 80% coverage) — down from 387 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026. 1f79e643	Sep 21–27, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-27	40+→	Partially confirmed
Around 10 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–35, 80% coverage) — down from 214 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026. 308cda6b	Sep 21–27, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-27	40+→	Partially confirmed
Around 10 job postings mentioning product ownership are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–37, 80% coverage) — down from 236 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026. da05c28a	Sep 21–27, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-27	40+→	Partially confirmed
Around 5 job postings mentioning aws are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–16, 80% coverage) — down from 76 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026. 487ffd02	Sep 21–27, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-27	40+→	Partially confirmed
Around 9 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–32, 80% coverage) — down from 192 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026. 85ee0a54	Sep 21–27, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-27	40+→	Partially confirmed
Around 10 job postings mentioning financial acumen are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–38, 80% coverage) — down from 226 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026. 79a36789	Sep 21–27, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-27	40+→	Partially confirmed
Around 4 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–9, 80% coverage) — down from 34 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026. ca134cb9	Sep 21–27, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-27	40+→	Partially confirmed
Around 11 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–37, 80% coverage) — down from 223 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026. cb13d3e3	Sep 21–27, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-27	40+→	Partially confirmed
Around 12 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–36, 80% coverage) — down from 199 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026. 34422d6e	Sep 21–27, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-27	40+→	Partially confirmed
Around 16 job postings mentioning cloud architecture are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–52, 80% coverage) — down from 267 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026. 2b3e10c3	Sep 21–27, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-27	40+→	Partially confirmed
Around 20 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–64, 80% coverage) — down from 350 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026. d3a49c7a	Sep 21–27, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-27	40+→	Partially confirmed
Around 36 job postings mentioning security are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–120, 80% coverage) — down from 655 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026. 9cde92b8	Sep 21–27, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-27	40+→	Partially confirmed
Around 38 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–105, 80% coverage) — down from 534 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026. c3fb9e3a	Sep 21–27, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-27	40+→	Partially confirmed
Around 5 job postings mentioning aws are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 0–11, 80% coverage) — up from 2 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026. d50eb8ba	Sep 7–13, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-13	24+→	Partially confirmed
Around 5 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 3–7, 80% coverage) — up from 4 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026. 46196c5a	Sep 7–13, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-13	24+→	Partially confirmed
Around 6 job postings mentioning machine learning are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 1–10, 80% coverage) — up from 1 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026. 85033c3e	Sep 7–13, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-13	29+→	Partially confirmed
Around 8 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 0–16, 80% coverage) — up from 7 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026. 236f9871	Sep 7–13, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-13	40+→	Partially confirmed
Around 11 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 7–16, 80% coverage) — up from 7 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026. a65814e2	Sep 7–13, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-13	40+→	Partially confirmed
Around 13 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 1–25, 80% coverage) — up from 5 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026. 1540ad2a	Sep 7–13, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-13	40+→	Partially confirmed
Around 22 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 9–35, 80% coverage) — up from 7 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026. 20b86562	Sep 7–13, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-13	40+→	Partially confirmed
Around 69 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 26–112, 80% coverage) — up from 54 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026. a7a382c2	Sep 7–13, 2026	Early signal	2026-09-13	40+→	Partially confirmed
Around 6 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 3–8, 80% coverage) — up from 3 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026. 6b002a24	Aug 24–30, 2026	Early signal	2026-08-30	26+→	Partially confirmed
Around 1 job postings mentioning change management are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 0–3, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026. 4666ee3c	Aug 24–30, 2026	Early signal	2026-08-30	9→	Partially confirmed
Around 3 job postings mentioning databricks are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 0–6, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026. f9c08898	Aug 24–30, 2026	Early signal	2026-08-30	22+→	Partially confirmed
Around 9 job postings mentioning program management are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 4–13, 80% coverage) — up from 1 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026. 8768fcc0	Aug 24–30, 2026	Early signal	2026-08-30	40+→	Partially confirmed

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The SHIOS promise

Every forecast is published. Every forecast is locked. Every forecast is eventually scored. No editing. No disappearing misses. Strategic Honesty.

What Happens Next?

What's Coming

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast scorecard

How forecasting works

Complete Forecast Register

The SHIOS promise