Forecasts
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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting rising demand for Coaching and cooling demand for Financial Services — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

263 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 33 job postings mentioning program management + stakeholder management are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–75, 80% coverage) — down from 96 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

0eba4f2c

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 33 job postings mentioning financial services are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–69, 80% coverage) — down from 96 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

69d688ab

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 37 job postings mentioning risk management + stakeholder management are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–82, 80% coverage) — down from 163 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

cd010938

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 36 job postings mentioning healthcare are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–77, 80% coverage) — down from 106 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

c2705c43

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 57 job postings mentioning insurance are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–125, 80% coverage) — down from 165 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

fe421b31

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 12 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–26, 80% coverage) — down from 23 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

ae48bc0e

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning mentoring are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–34, 80% coverage) — down from 56 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

c99783a3

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning budget management are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–34, 80% coverage) — down from 91 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

83e88690

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 12 job postings for agile coach roles are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–33, 80% coverage) — down from 13 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

4fbef63d

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning product ownership are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–42, 80% coverage) — up from 6 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

9cd181dd

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning healthcare are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–39, 80% coverage) — up from 1 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

5f2cac81

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning azure are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–36, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 15 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

95c272d7

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning financial acumen are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–40, 80% coverage) — up from 4 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

c849f0ff

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–41, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 15 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

0c1836e3

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 16 job postings mentioning reporting are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–45, 80% coverage) — up from 15 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

ac9f8598

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 23 job postings mentioning communication are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–58, 80% coverage) — down from 77 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

bf4311a2

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 23 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–52, 80% coverage) — down from 25 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

345c6c09

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 24 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–58, 80% coverage) — down from 44 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

1504addf

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 27 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–63, 80% coverage) — down from 65 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

cba931e5

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 32 job postings mentioning change management are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–73, 80% coverage) — down from 112 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

670e2621

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 34 job postings mentioning process improvement are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–79, 80% coverage) — down from 101 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

c99a4f04

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 34 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–75, 80% coverage) — down from 127 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

5492c28c

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 33 job postings mentioning security are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–91, 80% coverage) — up from 2 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

b45cb035

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 35 job postings mentioning coaching are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–89, 80% coverage) — up from 19 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

a0c981c7

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 41 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–88, 80% coverage) — down from 167 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

255417f9

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
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