Forecasts
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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting rising demand for Agile Delivery + Program Management and cooling demand for Professional Services — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

649 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 39 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–99, 80% coverage) — up from 14 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

89a25d82

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 46 job postings mentioning program management are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–103, 80% coverage) — down from 135 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

65d6089a

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 50 job postings mentioning project management are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–114, 80% coverage) — down from 238 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

77fe26d7

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 52 job postings mentioning risk management are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–117, 80% coverage) — down from 200 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

d202e1e3

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 78 job postings mentioning stakeholder management are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–176, 80% coverage) — down from 259 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

94671c88

Nov 9–15, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-15
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 12 job postings mentioning budget management are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–29, 80% coverage) — down from 93 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

76fcc1ee

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning change management + risk management are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–34, 80% coverage) — down from 82 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

285ae418

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 12 job postings mentioning mentoring are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–32, 80% coverage) — down from 74 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

740a3455

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 13 job postings mentioning process improvement + security are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–37, 80% coverage) — up from 1 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

cd0f49b6

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 13 job postings mentioning coaching + security are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–38, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

2e5b1436

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning professional services are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–35, 80% coverage) — down from 49 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

c87df27a

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning agile delivery + jira are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–39, 80% coverage) — up from 7 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

136b76eb

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning coaching + process improvement are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–40, 80% coverage) — up from 7 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

1287f94f

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning agile delivery + program management are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–40, 80% coverage) — up from 11 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

6b665ed4

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning agile delivery + process improvement are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–42, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

ed93e971

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning program management + security are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–41, 80% coverage) — up from 3 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

6efde8ac

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 18 job postings mentioning program management + project management are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–42, 80% coverage) — down from 78 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

d9fab820

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 16 job postings mentioning data analysis + stakeholder management are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–42, 80% coverage) — down from 23 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

1f8c54b7

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 17 job postings mentioning jira + stakeholder management are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–42, 80% coverage) — down from 33 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

21a239c1

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 16 job postings mentioning agile delivery + coaching are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–48, 80% coverage) — up from 3 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

8613e608

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 20 job postings mentioning program management + risk management are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–46, 80% coverage) — down from 92 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

429f2103

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 22 job postings mentioning project management + risk management are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–53, 80% coverage) — down from 136 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

78565c0a

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 19 job postings mentioning agile delivery + security are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–54, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

078c0570

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 22 job postings mentioning change management + stakeholder management are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–52, 80% coverage) — down from 87 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

82c43987

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 23 job postings mentioning process improvement + stakeholder management are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–58, 80% coverage) — down from 39 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

96d178ce

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
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