SHIOSStrategic Honesty Intelligence

Forecast history · complete register

Every forecast this system has published

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

Published

212

in the register

Scored

104

past their expiry

Mean accuracy

75%

1.00 is exact

Confidence reliability

Good

The system claimed more certainty than it earned, so confidence has been lowered.

212 forecasts · sorted by target week

Register

ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
job postings count for technology 'jira' is forecast at 28 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 17-39 at 80% confidence (down from 38 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

073ef0aa

Aug 17–23, 2026
23%
2026-08-23
40+
Needs review
job postings count for skill 'machine learning' is forecast at 29 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 24-34 at 80% confidence (up from 28 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

3d85babd

Aug 17–23, 2026
42%
2026-08-23
40+
Needs review
job postings count for technology 'aws' is forecast at 31 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 26-37 at 80% confidence (up from 22 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

453f0f83

Aug 17–23, 2026
43%
2026-08-23
40+
Needs review
job postings count for skill 'agile delivery' is forecast at 62 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 8-115 at 80% confidence (down from 123 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

f562696a

Aug 17–23, 2026
12%
2026-08-23
40+
Needs review
job postings count for skill 'ai literacy' is forecast at 70 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 19-122 at 80% confidence (down from 125 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

16e63ae3

Aug 17–23, 2026
13%
2026-08-23
40+
Needs review
job postings count for skill 'automation' is forecast at 56 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 25-87 at 80% confidence (down from 86 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

77038782

Aug 17–23, 2026
14%
2026-08-23
40+
Needs review
job postings count for technology 'python' is forecast at 72 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 24-119 at 80% confidence (down from 122 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

1e81fce6

Aug 17–23, 2026
13%
2026-08-23
40+
Needs review
job postings count for skill 'cloud architecture' is forecast at 48 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 42-54 at 80% confidence (up from 43 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

60bab386

Aug 17–23, 2026
48%
2026-08-23
40+
Needs review
Around 2 job postings mentioning change management are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 0–4, 80% confidence) — down from 3 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

00a2626c

Jul 13–19, 2026
15%
2026-07-19
15+
Scored
Around 2 job postings for agile coach roles are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 0–5, 80% confidence) — down from 3 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

c2c2bd72

Jul 13–19, 2026
13%
2026-07-19
17+
Scored
Around 2 job postings mentioning databricks are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 0–5, 80% confidence) — up from 1 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

098dc505

Jul 13–19, 2026
11%
2026-07-19
19+
Scored
Around 3 job postings mentioning docker are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 0–8, 80% confidence) — roughly flat from 3 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

bc931020

Jul 13–19, 2026
9%
2026-07-19
19+
Scored
Around 9 job postings mentioning program management are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 6–13, 80% confidence) — up from 7 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

7bcdac8b

Jul 13–19, 2026
29%
2026-07-19
34+
Scored
Around 8 job postings for platform engineer roles are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 2–14, 80% confidence) — up from 7 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

ea551b44

Jul 13–19, 2026
14%
2026-07-19
35+
Scored
Around 7 job postings mentioning azure are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 6–9, 80% confidence) — up from 6 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

744e2694

Jul 13–19, 2026
33%
2026-07-19
35+
Scored
Around 11 job postings mentioning langchain are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 9–13, 80% confidence) — up from 7 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

d81b21b1

Jul 13–19, 2026
34%
2026-07-19
34+
Scored
Around 5 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 0–9, 80% confidence) — up from 3 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

31510620

Jul 13–19, 2026
14%
2026-07-19
32+
Scored
Around 8 job postings mentioning financial acumen are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 4–11, 80% confidence) — up from 6 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

31bd720b

Jul 13–19, 2026
20%
2026-07-19
36+
Scored
Around 10 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 8–13, 80% confidence) — up from 8 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

edd40b7e

Jul 13–19, 2026
33%
2026-07-19
40+
Scored
Around 10 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 7–13, 80% confidence) — up from 7 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

c9bd44b6

Jul 13–19, 2026
27%
2026-07-19
40+
Scored
Around 8 job postings mentioning security are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 2–14, 80% confidence) — up from 7 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

816b976c

Jul 13–19, 2026
15%
2026-07-19
35+
Scored
Around 9 job postings mentioning coaching are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 6–13, 80% confidence) — up from 8 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

78e346ae

Jul 13–19, 2026
19%
2026-07-19
40+
Scored
Around 12 job postings mentioning anthropic api are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 8–15, 80% confidence) — up from 10 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

ebfc703b

Jul 13–19, 2026
26%
2026-07-19
34+
Scored
Around 15 job postings for ml engineer roles are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 13–18, 80% confidence) — up from 12 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

8845896f

Jul 13–19, 2026
36%
2026-07-19
40+
Scored
Around 18 job postings mentioning risk management are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 13–22, 80% confidence) — up from 12 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

1bab2669

Jul 13–19, 2026
35%
2026-07-19
40+
Scored