Forecasts
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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting cooling demand for Financial Services — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

263 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 22 job postings mentioning process improvement + stakeholder management are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–58, 80% coverage) — down from 51 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

0de7a2fd

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 23 job postings mentioning project management + stakeholder management are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–58, 80% coverage) — down from 116 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

7d708ee9

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 23 job postings mentioning coaching + stakeholder management are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–61, 80% coverage) — down from 36 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

22bed063

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 23 job postings mentioning security + stakeholder management are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–66, 80% coverage) — down from 27 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

3ae2ff16

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 26 job postings mentioning agile delivery + stakeholder management are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–71, 80% coverage) — down from 41 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

f4c7ae66

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 28 job postings mentioning risk management + stakeholder management are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–68, 80% coverage) — down from 134 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

5293aa33

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 28 job postings mentioning program management + stakeholder management are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–69, 80% coverage) — down from 83 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

ed1534cc

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 28 job postings mentioning financial services are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–63, 80% coverage) — down from 76 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

aa023857

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 29 job postings mentioning healthcare are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–68, 80% coverage) — down from 114 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

b28d8dc4

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 48 job postings mentioning insurance are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–114, 80% coverage) — down from 155 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

b329b44f

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 11 job postings mentioning confluence are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–27, 80% coverage) — down from 32 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

004d3e98

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 11 job postings mentioning cloud architecture are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–29, 80% coverage) — down from 12 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

e709093d

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 11 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–25, 80% coverage) — down from 22 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

39d793d8

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 12 job postings for agile coach roles are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–33, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 12 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

3ec789fc

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning azure are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–36, 80% coverage) — down from 37 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

f8542a1f

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 17 job postings mentioning communication are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–49, 80% coverage) — down from 109 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

09c609b1

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning healthcare are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–40, 80% coverage) — down from 23 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

b9d51ec0

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning product ownership are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–42, 80% coverage) — down from 18 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

82066f15

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–41, 80% coverage) — down from 30 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

e9c5ffa0

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning financial acumen are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–41, 80% coverage) — down from 24 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

ec883c81

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 16 job postings mentioning reporting are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–45, 80% coverage) — down from 48 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

b3d2983a

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 23 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–56, 80% coverage) — down from 43 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

40042dfc

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 22 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–52, 80% coverage) — down from 30 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

2ab9bd55

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 24 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–60, 80% coverage) — down from 66 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

b42c6068

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 26 job postings mentioning change management are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–63, 80% coverage) — down from 94 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

70145f05

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
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