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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting rising demand for Cloud Architecture and cooling demand for Scrum Master — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

649 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 20 job postings mentioning change management are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–56, 80% coverage) — down from 109 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

f118164f

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 25 job postings mentioning project management are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–75, 80% coverage) — down from 238 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

f3bdea6a

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 24 job postings mentioning process improvement are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–68, 80% coverage) — down from 165 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

5f92b6c0

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 20 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–50, 80% coverage) — down from 53 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

1bb988c8

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 23 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–60, 80% coverage) — down from 88 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

b9156898

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 28 job postings mentioning security are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–82, 80% coverage) — down from 196 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

565ee53f

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 25 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–66, 80% coverage) — down from 130 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

1ff7094d

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 28 job postings mentioning coaching are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–81, 80% coverage) — down from 168 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

b35820c3

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 30 job postings mentioning program management are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–82, 80% coverage) — down from 191 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

26cd73f8

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 30 job postings mentioning risk management are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–85, 80% coverage) — down from 136 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

602eec4a

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 33 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–92, 80% coverage) — down from 210 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

5ac31370

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 41 job postings mentioning anthropic api are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–118, 80% coverage) — down from 114 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

8096ced3

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 51 job postings mentioning stakeholder management are expected the week of Oct 12–18, 2026 (likely range: 0–140, 80% coverage) — down from 306 the week of Sep 14–20, 2026.

01744296

Oct 12–18, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-18
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 7 job postings mentioning mentoring are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–25, 80% coverage) — down from 104 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

244a5933

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 7 job postings mentioning aws are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–20, 80% coverage) — down from 36 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

3c544661

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 8 job postings mentioning confluence are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–24, 80% coverage) — down from 38 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

6053deac

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 7 job postings mentioning agile certification are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–26, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

34e5ad6e

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 7 job postings mentioning cloud architecture are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–24, 80% coverage) — up from 3 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

01ade835

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 13 job postings mentioning communication are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–43, 80% coverage) — down from 152 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

b248dd02

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 9 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–23, 80% coverage) — down from 34 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

d71004b8

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 9 job postings for agile coach roles are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–29, 80% coverage) — down from 15 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

43c2d368

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 9 job postings mentioning financial acumen are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–31, 80% coverage) — up from 8 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

24029ced

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 9 job postings mentioning healthcare are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–31, 80% coverage) — up from 5 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

e8eca84e

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 10 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–35, 80% coverage) — down from 15 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

67cf3240

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 10 job postings mentioning product ownership are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–37, 80% coverage) — up from 5 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

3ecaede2

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
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