Forecasts
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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting rising demand for Agile Delivery and cooling demand for Scrum Master — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

649 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 18 job postings mentioning project management are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–61, 80% coverage) — down from 207 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

33a0dd0a

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Missed
Around 14 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–42, 80% coverage) — down from 47 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

9a7f72e0

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 17 job postings mentioning change management are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–51, 80% coverage) — down from 119 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

a3b0d6a9

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Missed
Around 14 job postings mentioning langchain are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–41, 80% coverage) — down from 56 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

17b70eb6

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 17 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–52, 80% coverage) — down from 99 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

479b199d

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 19 job postings mentioning process improvement are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–59, 80% coverage) — down from 72 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

e69f0f34

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 21 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–60, 80% coverage) — down from 153 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

72742591

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 20 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–56, 80% coverage) — down from 118 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

7361bbbb

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Missed
Around 19 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–49, 80% coverage) — down from 61 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

870b1074

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 24 job postings mentioning program management are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–72, 80% coverage) — down from 163 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

0ff24cf2

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 26 job postings mentioning risk management are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–80, 80% coverage) — down from 224 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

17e66e45

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Missed
Around 23 job postings mentioning coaching are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–73, 80% coverage) — down from 72 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

02e1eb8a

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 21 job postings mentioning security are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–72, 80% coverage) — up from 14 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

adfcaa2b

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 27 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–81, 80% coverage) — up from 23 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

4bdfd0a8

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 41 job postings mentioning stakeholder management are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–125, 80% coverage) — down from 235 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

aefaaea9

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Missed
Around 41 job postings mentioning anthropic api are expected the week of Oct 5–11, 2026 (likely range: 0–117, 80% coverage) — down from 114 the week of Sep 7–13, 2026.

42cf66c4

Oct 5–11, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-11
40+→
Confirmed
Around 8 job postings mentioning communication are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–33, 80% coverage) — down from 215 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

3e51cde8

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
29+→
Partially confirmed
Around 11 job postings mentioning project management are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–47, 80% coverage) — down from 312 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

75982e3a

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
26+→
Partially confirmed
Around 6 job postings mentioning confluence are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–21, 80% coverage) — down from 74 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

0b606f8a

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 5 job postings mentioning scrum ceremonies are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–19, 80% coverage) — down from 23 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

d4bbc50d

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 8 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–21, 80% coverage) — down from 72 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

5dec2e7a

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 7 job postings mentioning agile certification are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–26, 80% coverage) — down from 37 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

99036b56

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 8 job postings for agile coach roles are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–29, 80% coverage) — down from 76 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

476b12ae

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 13 job postings mentioning change management are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–46, 80% coverage) — down from 210 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

948f2d75

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 12 job postings mentioning llm are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–54, 80% coverage) — down from 358 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

5f08ab92

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
25+→
Confirmed
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