Forecasts
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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting cooling demand for Software Engineer — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

649 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 19 job postings mentioning risk management are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–67, 80% coverage) — down from 368 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

3ba8026e

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 9 job postings mentioning healthcare are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–31, 80% coverage) — down from 59 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

3dd331ff

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 17 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–52, 80% coverage) — down from 219 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

81f7e55b

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 17 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–51, 80% coverage) — down from 233 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

e5ee0fc2

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 10 job postings mentioning product ownership are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–37, 80% coverage) — down from 54 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

96e04706

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 9 job postings mentioning financial acumen are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–31, 80% coverage) — down from 74 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

78c73a4e

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 16 job postings mentioning process improvement are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–57, 80% coverage) — down from 185 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

0ab5c3f4

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 14 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–47, 80% coverage) — down from 205 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

770c3959

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 19 job postings mentioning program management are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–64, 80% coverage) — down from 250 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

b574965f

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 14 job postings mentioning langchain are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–41, 80% coverage) — down from 56 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

7eeece8e

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 17 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–46, 80% coverage) — down from 161 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

25ce3208

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 15 job postings mentioning postgresql are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–45, 80% coverage) — down from 61 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

257608f6

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 21 job postings mentioning coaching are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–71, 80% coverage) — down from 233 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

03693025

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 7 job postings mentioning cloud architecture are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–24, 80% coverage) — down from 56 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

bba1bca2

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 20 job postings mentioning docker are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–58, 80% coverage) — down from 82 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

22703ba7

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 34 job postings mentioning stakeholder management are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–114, 80% coverage) — down from 465 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

f7d11576

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 12 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–40, 80% coverage) — down from 98 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

9ed7e709

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 36 job postings mentioning react are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–103, 80% coverage) — down from 144 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

cefde447

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 21 job postings mentioning security are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–72, 80% coverage) — down from 152 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

bb6f562d

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 40 job postings mentioning anthropic api are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–117, 80% coverage) — down from 114 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

983952e7

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 27 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–81, 80% coverage) — down from 167 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

93e9e917

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 10 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–35, 80% coverage) — down from 64 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

6e94f572

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 5 job postings for software engineer roles are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–11, 80% coverage) — down from 20 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

ed11d115

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 122 job postings mentioning typescript are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–348, 80% coverage) — down from 458 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

4170759d

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 181 job postings mentioning python are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–525, 80% coverage) — down from 746 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

0eb8799f

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
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