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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting cooling demand for Product Manager — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

649 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 364 job postings mentioning ai literacy are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–1070, 80% coverage) — down from 1222 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

ca9b71d3

Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-04
40+→
Confirmed
Around 8 job postings mentioning healthcare are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–34, 80% coverage) — down from 221 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

310356d4

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 10 job postings mentioning process improvement are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–45, 80% coverage) — down from 294 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

917f4c41

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
30+→
Partially confirmed
Around 11 job postings mentioning program management are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–46, 80% coverage) — down from 298 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

ce844aa1

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 19 job postings mentioning stakeholder management are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–80, 80% coverage) — down from 521 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

7a4369b3

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 14 job postings mentioning coaching are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–60, 80% coverage) — down from 387 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

1f79e643

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 10 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–35, 80% coverage) — down from 214 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

308cda6b

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 10 job postings mentioning product ownership are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–37, 80% coverage) — down from 236 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

da05c28a

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 3 job postings mentioning azure are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–9, 80% coverage) — down from 22 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

9cff93e0

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Missed
Around 5 job postings mentioning aws are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–16, 80% coverage) — down from 76 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

487ffd02

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 9 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–32, 80% coverage) — down from 192 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

85ee0a54

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 10 job postings mentioning financial acumen are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–38, 80% coverage) — down from 226 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

79a36789

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 4 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–9, 80% coverage) — down from 34 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

ca134cb9

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 11 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–37, 80% coverage) — down from 223 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

cb13d3e3

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 4 job postings mentioning kubernetes are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–13, 80% coverage) — down from 37 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

7610b0fb

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Confirmed
Around 7 job postings mentioning machine learning are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–20, 80% coverage) — down from 91 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

36e9570c

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Confirmed
Around 12 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–36, 80% coverage) — down from 199 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

34422d6e

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 12 job postings mentioning langchain are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–39, 80% coverage) — down from 172 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

80b2a6ab

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Confirmed
Around 16 job postings mentioning cloud architecture are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–52, 80% coverage) — down from 267 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

2b3e10c3

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 20 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–64, 80% coverage) — down from 350 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

d3a49c7a

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 14 job postings mentioning postgresql are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–43, 80% coverage) — down from 162 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

1138b31c

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Confirmed
Around 18 job postings mentioning docker are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–55, 80% coverage) — down from 221 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

6b9220f8

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Confirmed
Around 36 job postings mentioning security are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–120, 80% coverage) — down from 655 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

9cde92b8

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 32 job postings mentioning react are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–97, 80% coverage) — down from 392 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

6067f6e8

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Confirmed
Around 38 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–105, 80% coverage) — down from 534 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

c3fb9e3a

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Partially confirmed
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