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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting cooling demand for Product Manager — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

649 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 37 job postings mentioning anthropic api are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–113, 80% coverage) — down from 447 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

32bccdb9

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Confirmed
Around 44 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–135, 80% coverage) — down from 613 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

5fab9ee3

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Confirmed
Around 58 job postings for software engineer roles are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–177, 80% coverage) — down from 658 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

8f78d802

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Confirmed
Around 108 job postings mentioning typescript are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–331, 80% coverage) — down from 1265 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

509beff0

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Confirmed
Around 159 job postings mentioning python are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–497, 80% coverage) — down from 2027 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

08ae43ab

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Confirmed
Around 329 job postings mentioning ai literacy are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–1030, 80% coverage) — down from 4166 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.

a0d87512

Sep 21–27, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-27
40+→
Confirmed
Around 2 job postings mentioning azure are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–7, 80% coverage) — down from 43 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

12c0e09a

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning change management are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–3, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

48e6f7a8

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
9→
Missed
Around 3 job postings mentioning financial acumen are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–9, 80% coverage) — down from 52 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

16bdcae4

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Missed
Around 3 job postings mentioning kubernetes are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–11, 80% coverage) — down from 64 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

665f1cf8

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Confirmed
Around 1 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–3, 80% coverage) — down from 4 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

017e945b

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
32+→
Missed
Around 1 job postings mentioning product ownership are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–4, 80% coverage) — down from 12 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

2d88bd36

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
39+→
Missed
Around 3 job postings mentioning aws are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–8, 80% coverage) — down from 46 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

1f510d6d

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Missed
Around 4 job postings mentioning machine learning are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–12, 80% coverage) — down from 69 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

97aff4e2

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Missed
Around 6 job postings mentioning langchain are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–25, 80% coverage) — down from 151 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

12d5d35f

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Confirmed
Around 3 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–8, 80% coverage) — down from 40 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

c929c68e

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Missed
Around 8 job postings mentioning postgresql are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–31, 80% coverage) — down from 189 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

2e5c2a36

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Confirmed
Around 3 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–6, 80% coverage) — down from 14 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

67078918

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Missed
Around 3 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–6, 80% coverage) — down from 10 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

b02e7fd3

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Missed
Around 7 job postings mentioning cloud architecture are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–25, 80% coverage) — down from 144 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

a365953b

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Missed
Around 10 job postings mentioning docker are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–38, 80% coverage) — down from 229 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

c2ae3a6f

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Confirmed
Around 8 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–25, 80% coverage) — down from 142 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

bc629b6c

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Missed
Around 14 job postings mentioning security are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–48, 80% coverage) — down from 283 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

98da8bf9

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Missed
Around 5 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–11, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 5 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

0192c45a

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Missed
Around 19 job postings mentioning react are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–67, 80% coverage) — down from 398 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

7bff8e8a

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Confirmed
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