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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting rising demand for Program Manager and cooling demand for Project Manager — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

649 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 22 job postings mentioning anthropic api are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–79, 80% coverage) — down from 471 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

6b73ffb5

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Confirmed
Around 24 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–82, 80% coverage) — down from 481 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

566c6483

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Confirmed
Around 36 job postings for software engineer roles are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–129, 80% coverage) — down from 768 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

818907c9

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Confirmed
Around 19 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–47, 80% coverage) — down from 166 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

827f8789

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Missed
Around 66 job postings mentioning typescript are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–238, 80% coverage) — down from 1426 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

77a19903

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Confirmed
Around 91 job postings mentioning python are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–340, 80% coverage) — down from 2074 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

53585347

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Confirmed
Around 189 job postings mentioning ai literacy are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–709, 80% coverage) — down from 4316 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

d5499094

Sep 14–20, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-20
40+→
Confirmed
Around 5 job postings mentioning kubernetes are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 0–11, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

3b60747b

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
22+→
Confirmed
Around 5 job postings mentioning financial acumen are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 0–11, 80% coverage) — up from 2 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

0a4c29a0

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
25+→
Confirmed
Around 0 job postings mentioning change management are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 0–3, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

adba41c1

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
9→
Missed
Around 5 job postings mentioning aws are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 0–11, 80% coverage) — up from 2 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

d50eb8ba

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
24+→
Partially confirmed
Around 5 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 3–7, 80% coverage) — up from 4 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

46196c5a

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
24+→
Partially confirmed
Around 5 job postings mentioning product ownership are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 2–8, 80% coverage) — up from 4 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

8c7822a0

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
24+→
Confirmed
Around 6 job postings mentioning machine learning are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 1–10, 80% coverage) — up from 1 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

85033c3e

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
29+→
Partially confirmed
Around 7 job postings mentioning langchain are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 0–17, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

f4ac100c

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
32+→
Confirmed
Around 8 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 0–16, 80% coverage) — up from 7 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

236f9871

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 9 job postings mentioning postgresql are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 0–19, 80% coverage) — up from 7 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

89f429a6

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
38+→
Confirmed
Around 10 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 6–14, 80% coverage) — down from 12 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

aa18c39d

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
40+→
Missed
Around 11 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 7–16, 80% coverage) — up from 7 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

a65814e2

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 12 job postings mentioning docker are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 0–27, 80% coverage) — up from 5 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

37bb2a2f

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
40+→
Confirmed
Around 12 job postings mentioning cloud architecture are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 0–25, 80% coverage) — up from 5 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

14c2448e

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
40+→
Confirmed
Around 13 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 1–25, 80% coverage) — up from 5 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

1540ad2a

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 21 job postings mentioning security are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 0–44, 80% coverage) — up from 8 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

8279bd49

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
40+→
Confirmed
Around 22 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 9–35, 80% coverage) — up from 7 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

20b86562

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 28 job postings mentioning react are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 1–56, 80% coverage) — up from 19 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

34299d20

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
40+→
Confirmed
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