Forecasts
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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting rising demand for Financial Acumen and cooling demand for Product Manager — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

649 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 32 job postings mentioning anthropic api are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 0–76, 80% coverage) — up from 6 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

e394e0bc

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
40+→
Confirmed
Around 39 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 0–78, 80% coverage) — up from 19 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

9b3f01b8

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
40+→
Confirmed
Around 48 job postings for software engineer roles are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 0–104, 80% coverage) — up from 26 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

f6492cb0

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
40+→
Confirmed
Around 69 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 26–112, 80% coverage) — up from 54 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

a7a382c2

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 95 job postings mentioning typescript are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 0–197, 80% coverage) — up from 53 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

183ec2c7

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
40+→
Confirmed
Around 111 job postings mentioning python are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 0–243, 80% coverage) — up from 46 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

6e980b40

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
40+→
Confirmed
Around 232 job postings mentioning ai literacy are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 0–548, 80% coverage) — up from 70 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

76f85a6e

Sep 7–13, 2026
Early signal
2026-09-13
40+→
Confirmed
Around 6 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 3–8, 80% coverage) — up from 3 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

6b002a24

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
26+→
Partially confirmed
Around 9 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 5–14, 80% coverage) — down from 10 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

5d01a87f

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Missed
Around 5 job postings mentioning kubernetes are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 0–10, 80% coverage) — down from 15 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

008fda98

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
19+→
Confirmed
Around 1 job postings mentioning change management are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 0–3, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

4666ee3c

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
9→
Partially confirmed
Around 0 job postings for agile coach roles are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 0–3, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

69df75d2

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
9→
Missed
Around 9 job postings mentioning postgresql are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 0–19, 80% coverage) — down from 28 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

66a8f554

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
31+→
Confirmed
Around 3 job postings mentioning databricks are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 0–6, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

f9c08898

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
22+→
Partially confirmed
Around 28 job postings mentioning react are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 9–48, 80% coverage) — down from 40 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

7d3080d9

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Missed
Around 25 job postings for software engineer roles are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 7–43, 80% coverage) — down from 32 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

ce90726e

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Confirmed
Around 14 job postings mentioning docker are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 8–19, 80% coverage) — up from 10 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

af177618

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Confirmed
Around 9 job postings mentioning program management are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 4–13, 80% coverage) — up from 1 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

8768fcc0

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 8 job postings for platform engineer roles are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 4–12, 80% coverage) — up from 2 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

4bfc5022

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Confirmed
Around 8 job postings mentioning azure are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 3–14, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

9d7e48de

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 12 job postings mentioning langchain are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 6–17, 80% coverage) — up from 5 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

0cee9311

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 13 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 5–22, 80% coverage) — up from 8 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

878cf138

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 11 job postings mentioning financial acumen are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 6–16, 80% coverage) — up from 3 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

58eca3c2

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 10 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 4–15, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

9a1610b7

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 8 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 4–13, 80% coverage) — up from 1 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

21ec338e

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
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