Forecasts
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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting rising demand for Cloud Architecture and cooling demand for Data Scientist — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

649 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 16 job postings mentioning security are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 9–22, 80% coverage) — up from 11 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

c3961607

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 7 job postings mentioning coaching are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 2–12, 80% coverage) — up from 1 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

8123f4a2

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 26 job postings mentioning anthropic api are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 17–35, 80% coverage) — up from 20 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

c446353e

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 17 job postings for ml engineer roles are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 8–25, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

91bf88a0

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Missed
Around 13 job postings mentioning risk management are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 5–22, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

dd694a8a

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 16 job postings mentioning stakeholder management are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 7–26, 80% coverage) — up from 1 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

10e0fc06

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 68 job postings mentioning typescript are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 17–120, 80% coverage) — down from 72 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

20990cef

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Missed
Around 21 job postings mentioning machine learning are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 9–33, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

0e1bf2a9

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 24 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 12–36, 80% coverage) — up from 10 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

b136baae

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 23 job postings mentioning aws are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 11–35, 80% coverage) — up from 2 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

4f442329

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 50 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 20–80, 80% coverage) — up from 22 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

59c5b0f9

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 67 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 17–116, 80% coverage) — up from 50 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

880bd8c3

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 35 job postings mentioning cloud architecture are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 17–53, 80% coverage) — up from 3 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

684dd5d2

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 100 job postings mentioning ai literacy are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 45–155, 80% coverage) — down from 115 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

b4489d8f

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Confirmed
Around 82 job postings mentioning python are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 38–126, 80% coverage) — up from 70 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

3279cd2c

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 1 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Aug 17–23, 2026 (likely range: 0–3, 80% coverage) — down from 8 the week of Jul 20–26, 2026.

e9e70aa9

Aug 17–23, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-23
30+→
Partially confirmed
Around 0 job postings for agile coach roles are expected the week of Aug 17–23, 2026 (likely range: 0–0, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jul 20–26, 2026.

b142b4f9

Aug 17–23, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-23
2→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning change management are expected the week of Aug 17–23, 2026 (likely range: 0–0, 80% coverage) — down from 1 the week of Jul 20–26, 2026.

5c27f6da

Aug 17–23, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-23
1→
Confirmed
Around 0 job postings mentioning product ownership are expected the week of Aug 17–23, 2026 (likely range: 0–2, 80% coverage) — down from 8 the week of Jul 20–26, 2026.

f103bedc

Aug 17–23, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-23
13+→
Missed
Around 1 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Aug 17–23, 2026 (likely range: 0–3, 80% coverage) — down from 11 the week of Jul 20–26, 2026.

9d6d6144

Aug 17–23, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-23
28+→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning process improvement are expected the week of Aug 17–23, 2026 (likely range: 0–0, 80% coverage) — down from 1 the week of Jul 20–26, 2026.

c3eb74c3

Aug 17–23, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-23
1→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning postgresql are expected the week of Aug 17–23, 2026 (likely range: 0–1, 80% coverage) — down from 6 the week of Jul 20–26, 2026.

b939cd2c

Aug 17–23, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-23
7→
Missed
Around 1 job postings mentioning react are expected the week of Aug 17–23, 2026 (likely range: 0–6, 80% coverage) — down from 36 the week of Jul 20–26, 2026.

5f9c6c0f

Aug 17–23, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-23
28+→
Missed
Around 3 job postings for software engineer roles are expected the week of Aug 17–23, 2026 (likely range: 0–10, 80% coverage) — down from 64 the week of Jul 20–26, 2026.

b803e52a

Aug 17–23, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-23
30+→
Missed
job postings count for role 'data scientist' is forecast at 7 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 4-9 at 80% confidence (down from 8 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

793b3d5d

Aug 17–23, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-23
33+→
Partially confirmed
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