SHIOSStrategic Honesty Intelligence

Forecast history · complete register

Every forecast this system has published

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

Published

212

in the register

Scored

104

past their expiry

Mean accuracy

75%

1.00 is exact

Confidence reliability

Good

The system claimed more certainty than it earned, so confidence has been lowered.

212 forecasts · sorted by target week

Register

ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
job postings count for role 'ml engineer' is forecast at 12 in Jul 6–12, 2026, within 10-15 at 80% confidence (up from 8 in Jun 8–14, 2026).

8a1f4cfd

Jul 6–12, 2026
39%
2026-07-12
40+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'risk management' is forecast at 20 in Jul 6–12, 2026, within 16-24 at 80% confidence (up from 14 in Jun 8–14, 2026).

56c891fd

Jul 6–12, 2026
40%
2026-07-12
40+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'stakeholder management' is forecast at 21 in Jul 6–12, 2026, within 16-25 at 80% confidence (up from 14 in Jun 8–14, 2026).

1c746867

Jul 6–12, 2026
40%
2026-07-12
40+
Scored
job postings count for technology 'jira' is forecast at 15 in Jul 6–12, 2026, within 9-22 at 80% confidence (up from 11 in Jun 8–14, 2026).

86fcdbf3

Jul 6–12, 2026
24%
2026-07-12
40+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'machine learning' is forecast at 18 in Jul 6–12, 2026, within 12-25 at 80% confidence (up from 14 in Jun 8–14, 2026).

bd6fe840

Jul 6–12, 2026
29%
2026-07-12
40+
Scored
job postings count for technology 'aws' is forecast at 15 in Jul 6–12, 2026, within 8-23 at 80% confidence (up from 12 in Jun 8–14, 2026).

b9d4fda2

Jul 6–12, 2026
21%
2026-07-12
40+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'agile delivery' is forecast at 12 in Jul 6–12, 2026, within 9-16 at 80% confidence (up from 10 in Jun 8–14, 2026).

48ccc40e

Jul 6–12, 2026
27%
2026-07-12
40+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'ai literacy' is forecast at 12 in Jul 6–12, 2026, within 10-15 at 80% confidence (up from 8 in Jun 8–14, 2026).

373a2742

Jul 6–12, 2026
39%
2026-07-12
40+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'automation' is forecast at 19 in Jul 6–12, 2026, within 13-24 at 80% confidence (up from 16 in Jun 8–14, 2026).

b6582b48

Jul 6–12, 2026
33%
2026-07-12
40+
Scored
job postings count for technology 'python' is forecast at 20 in Jul 6–12, 2026, within 18-22 at 80% confidence (up from 15 in Jun 8–14, 2026).

fa813f33

Jul 6–12, 2026
48%
2026-07-12
40+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'cloud architecture' is forecast at 26 in Jul 6–12, 2026, within 19-34 at 80% confidence (up from 23 in Jun 8–14, 2026).

a900b279

Jul 6–12, 2026
31%
2026-07-12
40+
Scored
Around 1 job postings mentioning change management are expected the week of Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026 (likely range: 0–5, 80% confidence) — roughly flat from 1 the week of Jun 1–7, 2026.

cd58f428

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
12%
2026-07-05
12+
Scored
Around 2 job postings for agile coach roles are expected the week of Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026 (likely range: 0–7, 80% confidence) — up from 1 the week of Jun 1–7, 2026.

7e87d958

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
9%
2026-07-05
14+
Scored
Around 7 job postings mentioning databricks are expected the week of Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026 (likely range: 5–10, 80% confidence) — up from 5 the week of Jun 1–7, 2026.

68552b2f

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
23%
2026-07-05
18+
Scored
job postings count for role 'data scientist' is forecast at 8 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 1-14 at 80% confidence (up from 6 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

b39c6bfb

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
14%
2026-07-05
26+
Scored
job postings count for technology 'docker' is forecast at 0 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 0-1 at 80% confidence (down from 1 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

17ba7c4a

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
22%
2026-07-05
14+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'program management' is forecast at 11 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 6-15 at 80% confidence (up from 6 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

8a42d1b5

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
23%
2026-07-05
24+
Scored
job postings count for role 'platform engineer' is forecast at 1 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 0-7 at 80% confidence (down from 2 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

94380fb5

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
16%
2026-07-05
24+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'data analysis' is forecast at 8 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 1-14 at 80% confidence (up from 6 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

e2b111c3

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
14%
2026-07-05
26+
Scored
job postings count for technology 'langchain' is forecast at 11 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 9-13 at 80% confidence (up from 7 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

39c884f4

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
29%
2026-07-05
23+
Scored
job postings count for technology 'azure' is forecast at 7 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 5-8 at 80% confidence (up from 6 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

e2593e2a

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
24%
2026-07-05
27+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'financial acumen' is forecast at 7 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 1-14 at 80% confidence (up from 4 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

561d7be1

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
13%
2026-07-05
27+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'security' is forecast at 1 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 0-7 at 80% confidence (down from 2 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

77f9269c

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
16%
2026-07-05
24+
Scored
job postings count for role 'scrum master' is forecast at 12 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 7-16 at 80% confidence (up from 9 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

fe711785

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
27%
2026-07-05
34+
Scored
job postings count for role 'program manager' is forecast at 10 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 6-15 at 80% confidence (up from 6 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

e2734fea

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
24%
2026-07-05
30+
Scored