Forecasts
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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting rising demand for Agile Delivery + Security and cooling demand for Professional Services — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

649 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 31 job postings mentioning process improvement are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–76, 80% coverage) — down from 60 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

08ad1503

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 36 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–81, 80% coverage) — down from 128 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

594d1e2e

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 35 job postings mentioning coaching are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–89, 80% coverage) — down from 49 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

b51c20c0

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 34 job postings mentioning security are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–92, 80% coverage) — up from 8 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

2931b510

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 43 job postings mentioning project management are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–104, 80% coverage) — down from 220 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

398572a9

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 43 job postings mentioning program management are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–99, 80% coverage) — down from 144 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

86e32830

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 47 job postings mentioning risk management are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–109, 80% coverage) — down from 228 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

a8d6069b

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 40 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–100, 80% coverage) — up from 29 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

e73defb0

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 71 job postings mentioning stakeholder management are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–167, 80% coverage) — down from 241 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.

cc982988

Nov 2–8, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-08
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 13 job postings mentioning process improvement + security are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–37, 80% coverage) — down from 14 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

756e213d

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 13 job postings mentioning coaching + security are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–38, 80% coverage) — down from 15 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

5f44717a

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning professional services are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–33, 80% coverage) — down from 45 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

a52bc681

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning agile delivery + jira are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–40, 80% coverage) — down from 17 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

15645a8a

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning coaching + process improvement are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–40, 80% coverage) — down from 26 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

07bed7ab

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning agile delivery + program management are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–40, 80% coverage) — down from 20 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

d5e3be41

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning agile delivery + process improvement are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–43, 80% coverage) — down from 19 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

25ebedc4

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning program management + project management are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–39, 80% coverage) — down from 73 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

d6e3f4e9

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning program management + security are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–42, 80% coverage) — down from 16 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

21641297

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning data analysis + stakeholder management are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–41, 80% coverage) — down from 31 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

b4192ddd

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 16 job postings mentioning jira + stakeholder management are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–41, 80% coverage) — down from 47 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

ba756b50

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 17 job postings mentioning program management + risk management are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–42, 80% coverage) — down from 81 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

484716ad

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 17 job postings mentioning agile delivery + coaching are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–48, 80% coverage) — down from 27 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

3ec4a958

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 17 job postings mentioning project management + risk management are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–46, 80% coverage) — down from 104 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

ca4da4f0

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 19 job postings mentioning agile delivery + security are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–54, 80% coverage) — up from 18 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

00978475

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 19 job postings mentioning change management + stakeholder management are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–48, 80% coverage) — down from 61 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

7fce988d

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
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