SHIOSStrategic Honesty Intelligence

Forecast history · complete register

Every forecast this system has published

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

Published

212

in the register

Scored

104

past their expiry

Mean accuracy

75%

1.00 is exact

Confidence reliability

Good

The system claimed more certainty than it earned, so confidence has been lowered.

212 forecasts · sorted by target week

Register

ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
job postings count for skill 'coaching' is forecast at 13 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 8-17 at 80% confidence (up from 9 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

bd370082

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
28%
2026-07-05
40+
Scored
job postings count for technology 'anthropic api' is forecast at 9 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 7-10 at 80% confidence (up from 6 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

9c81aa40

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
36%
2026-07-05
22+
Scored
job postings count for role 'ml engineer' is forecast at 13 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 11-15 at 80% confidence (up from 9 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

b4255e37

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
34%
2026-07-05
32+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'risk management' is forecast at 21 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 16-26 at 80% confidence (up from 14 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

492fc41a

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
33%
2026-07-05
40+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'stakeholder management' is forecast at 22 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 18-26 at 80% confidence (up from 14 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

8c4e9ce9

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
34%
2026-07-05
40+
Scored
job postings count for technology 'jira' is forecast at 19 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 12-25 at 80% confidence (up from 13 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

022836b6

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
28%
2026-07-05
40+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'machine learning' is forecast at 17 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 7-27 at 80% confidence (up from 14 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

9e5d9e6d

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
20%
2026-07-05
40+
Scored
job postings count for technology 'aws' is forecast at 16 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 5-27 at 80% confidence (up from 10 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

8e17fbfe

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
17%
2026-07-05
40+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'agile delivery' is forecast at 13 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 8-18 at 80% confidence (up from 10 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

2b3a8da7

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
24%
2026-07-05
40+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'ai literacy' is forecast at 13 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 11-15 at 80% confidence (up from 9 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

152cbc3d

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
34%
2026-07-05
32+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'automation' is forecast at 14 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 8-21 at 80% confidence (up from 11 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

fffcdd99

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
21%
2026-07-05
40+
Scored
job postings count for technology 'python' is forecast at 20 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 19-22 at 80% confidence (up from 15 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

4828d437

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
41%
2026-07-05
40+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'cloud architecture' is forecast at 22 in Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026, within 12-32 at 80% confidence (up from 17 in Jun 1–7, 2026).

d52e90d3

Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
19%
2026-07-05
40+
Scored
job postings count for role 'data scientist' is forecast at 7 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 0-18 at 80% confidence (up from 4 in May 25–31, 2026).

d311b360

Jun 22–28, 2026
9%
2026-06-28
20+
Scored
job postings count for technology 'docker' is forecast at 0 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 0-5 at 80% confidence (down from 2 in May 25–31, 2026).

5ab99e53

Jun 22–28, 2026
18%
2026-06-28
13+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'program management' is forecast at 12 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 6-19 at 80% confidence (up from 7 in May 25–31, 2026).

d09d91aa

Jun 22–28, 2026
18%
2026-06-28
18+
Scored
job postings count for role 'platform engineer' is forecast at 7 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 1-13 at 80% confidence (up from 5 in May 25–31, 2026).

fef20ad5

Jun 22–28, 2026
12%
2026-06-28
22+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'data analysis' is forecast at 7 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 0-18 at 80% confidence (up from 4 in May 25–31, 2026).

f43117b4

Jun 22–28, 2026
9%
2026-06-28
20+
Scored
job postings count for technology 'langchain' is forecast at 10 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 6-13 at 80% confidence (up from 6 in May 25–31, 2026).

73eb19e7

Jun 22–28, 2026
23%
2026-06-28
16+
Scored
job postings count for technology 'azure' is forecast at 6 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 3-9 at 80% confidence (up from 5 in May 25–31, 2026).

870b5dc1

Jun 22–28, 2026
13%
2026-06-28
21+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'financial acumen' is forecast at 13 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 11-15 at 80% confidence (up from 8 in May 25–31, 2026).

f953c8b4

Jun 22–28, 2026
27%
2026-06-28
23+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'security' is forecast at 7 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 1-13 at 80% confidence (up from 5 in May 25–31, 2026).

e104dba0

Jun 22–28, 2026
12%
2026-06-28
22+
Scored
job postings count for role 'scrum master' is forecast at 9 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 2-16 at 80% confidence (up from 6 in May 25–31, 2026).

33dcbf89

Jun 22–28, 2026
16%
2026-06-28
25+
Scored
job postings count for role 'program manager' is forecast at 14 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 12-15 at 80% confidence (up from 8 in May 25–31, 2026).

cf81617c

Jun 22–28, 2026
27%
2026-06-28
24+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'coaching' is forecast at 15 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 10-20 at 80% confidence (up from 10 in May 25–31, 2026).

3cbc7915

Jun 22–28, 2026
27%
2026-06-28
34+
Scored