Forecast history · complete register
Every forecast this system has published
Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.
Published
212
in the register
Scored
104
past their expiry
Mean accuracy
75%
1.00 is exact
Confidence reliability
Good
The system claimed more certainty than it earned, so confidence has been lowered.
212 forecasts · sorted by target week