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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting cooling demand for Program Manager — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

649 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 27 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–65, 80% coverage) — down from 94 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

6d83d33c

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 29 job postings mentioning process improvement are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–75, 80% coverage) — down from 85 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

84d7e6e9

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 33 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–76, 80% coverage) — down from 139 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

bcedc9bb

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 37 job postings mentioning project management are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–93, 80% coverage) — down from 180 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

6fb7af83

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 34 job postings mentioning coaching are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–88, 80% coverage) — down from 67 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

0ae8f5cf

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 34 job postings mentioning security are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–92, 80% coverage) — down from 43 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

6b862636

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 40 job postings mentioning risk management are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–99, 80% coverage) — down from 204 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

51245934

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 39 job postings mentioning program management are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–94, 80% coverage) — down from 138 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

9857a06b

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 40 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–100, 80% coverage) — down from 59 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

718e2cb5

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 65 job postings mentioning stakeholder management are expected the week of Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026 (likely range: 0–158, 80% coverage) — down from 220 the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026.

dce37749

Oct 26–Nov 1, 2026
Early signal
2026-11-01
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 10 job postings mentioning confluence are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–26, 80% coverage) — down from 35 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

71461bd4

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 11 job postings mentioning cloud architecture are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–29, 80% coverage) — down from 56 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

44abbf44

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning azure are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–35, 80% coverage) — down from 116 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

0d2abd61

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning reporting are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–43, 80% coverage) — down from 149 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

52baa0a8

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 11 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–25, 80% coverage) — down from 22 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

3522d940

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 12 job postings for agile coach roles are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–33, 80% coverage) — down from 43 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

0208362d

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning healthcare are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–39, 80% coverage) — down from 70 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

44c4b037

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 15 job postings mentioning financial acumen are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–40, 80% coverage) — down from 89 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

53e991b8

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning product ownership are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–42, 80% coverage) — down from 56 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

3abf2500

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–41, 80% coverage) — down from 53 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

3f9fe132

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 14 job postings mentioning communication are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–44, 80% coverage) — down from 24 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

fa11601d

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 22 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–55, 80% coverage) — down from 112 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

f500a6e4

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 22 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–58, 80% coverage) — down from 77 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

26ee637d

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 23 job postings mentioning change management are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–60, 80% coverage) — down from 91 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

2e6d3889

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
Around 22 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Oct 19–25, 2026 (likely range: 0–51, 80% coverage) — down from 51 the week of Sep 21–27, 2026.

a46cc51e

Oct 19–25, 2026
Early signal
2026-10-25
40+→
Not yet resolved
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