SHIOSStrategic Honesty Intelligence

Forecast history · complete register

Every forecast this system has published

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

Published

212

in the register

Scored

104

past their expiry

Mean accuracy

75%

1.00 is exact

Confidence reliability

Good

The system claimed more certainty than it earned, so confidence has been lowered.

212 forecasts · sorted by target week

Register

ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
job postings count for technology 'anthropic api' is forecast at 7 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 6-9 at 80% confidence (up from 5 in May 25–31, 2026).

8d50be40

Jun 22–28, 2026
30%
2026-06-28
16+
Scored
job postings count for role 'ml engineer' is forecast at 11 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 8-14 at 80% confidence (up from 7 in May 25–31, 2026).

91b03123

Jun 22–28, 2026
28%
2026-06-28
23+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'risk management' is forecast at 20 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 13-28 at 80% confidence (up from 12 in May 25–31, 2026).

cd0e1cd2

Jun 22–28, 2026
25%
2026-06-28
40+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'stakeholder management' is forecast at 23 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 18-28 at 80% confidence (up from 14 in May 25–31, 2026).

e97f8210

Jun 22–28, 2026
28%
2026-06-28
40+
Scored
job postings count for technology 'jira' is forecast at 20 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 9-31 at 80% confidence (up from 12 in May 25–31, 2026).

b9406f8b

Jun 22–28, 2026
21%
2026-06-28
40+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'machine learning' is forecast at 12 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 0-26 at 80% confidence (up from 8 in May 25–31, 2026).

fb40a8d9

Jun 22–28, 2026
10%
2026-06-28
38+
Scored
job postings count for technology 'aws' is forecast at 23 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 12-34 at 80% confidence (up from 13 in May 25–31, 2026).

deedde49

Jun 22–28, 2026
22%
2026-06-28
40+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'agile delivery' is forecast at 15 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 8-22 at 80% confidence (up from 10 in May 25–31, 2026).

5a1a0d4f

Jun 22–28, 2026
23%
2026-06-28
38+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'ai literacy' is forecast at 11 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 8-14 at 80% confidence (up from 7 in May 25–31, 2026).

5455df86

Jun 22–28, 2026
28%
2026-06-28
23+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'automation' is forecast at 17 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 7-26 at 80% confidence (up from 11 in May 25–31, 2026).

9437ceb5

Jun 22–28, 2026
21%
2026-06-28
40+
Scored
job postings count for technology 'python' is forecast at 20 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 18-21 at 80% confidence (up from 14 in May 25–31, 2026).

c5e9c7ef

Jun 22–28, 2026
33%
2026-06-28
40+
Scored
job postings count for skill 'cloud architecture' is forecast at 28 in Jun 22–28, 2026, within 17-39 at 80% confidence (up from 19 in May 25–31, 2026).

3ee1ff0f

Jun 22–28, 2026
25%
2026-06-28
40+
Scored
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