Forecasts
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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting rising demand for Program Manager and cooling demand for Data Scientist — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

95 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 8 job postings mentioning azure are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 3–14, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

9d7e48de

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 12 job postings mentioning langchain are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 6–17, 80% coverage) — up from 5 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

0cee9311

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 13 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 5–22, 80% coverage) — up from 8 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

878cf138

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 11 job postings mentioning financial acumen are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 6–16, 80% coverage) — up from 3 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

58eca3c2

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 10 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 4–15, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

9a1610b7

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 8 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 4–13, 80% coverage) — up from 1 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

21ec338e

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 16 job postings mentioning security are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 9–22, 80% coverage) — up from 11 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

c3961607

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 7 job postings mentioning coaching are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 2–12, 80% coverage) — up from 1 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

8123f4a2

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 26 job postings mentioning anthropic api are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 17–35, 80% coverage) — up from 20 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

c446353e

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 13 job postings mentioning risk management are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 5–22, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

dd694a8a

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 16 job postings mentioning stakeholder management are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 7–26, 80% coverage) — up from 1 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

10e0fc06

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 21 job postings mentioning machine learning are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 9–33, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

0e1bf2a9

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 24 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 12–36, 80% coverage) — up from 10 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

b136baae

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 23 job postings mentioning aws are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 11–35, 80% coverage) — up from 2 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

4f442329

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 50 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 20–80, 80% coverage) — up from 22 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

59c5b0f9

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 67 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 17–116, 80% coverage) — up from 50 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

880bd8c3

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 35 job postings mentioning cloud architecture are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 17–53, 80% coverage) — up from 3 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

684dd5d2

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 82 job postings mentioning python are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 38–126, 80% coverage) — up from 70 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

3279cd2c

Aug 24–30, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-30
40+→
Partially confirmed
Around 1 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Aug 17–23, 2026 (likely range: 0–3, 80% coverage) — down from 8 the week of Jul 20–26, 2026.

e9e70aa9

Aug 17–23, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-23
30+→
Partially confirmed
job postings count for role 'data scientist' is forecast at 7 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 4-9 at 80% confidence (down from 8 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

793b3d5d

Aug 17–23, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-23
33+→
Partially confirmed
job postings count for skill 'program management' is forecast at 12 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 10-14 at 80% confidence (up from 9 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

ebb53738

Aug 17–23, 2026
Moderate signal
2026-08-23
40+→
Partially confirmed
job postings count for skill 'financial acumen' is forecast at 14 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 11-17 at 80% confidence (up from 12 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

227ee1e2

Aug 17–23, 2026
Moderate signal
2026-08-23
40+→
Partially confirmed
job postings count for role 'program manager' is forecast at 14 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 12-16 at 80% confidence (up from 10 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

0f81a34e

Aug 17–23, 2026
Moderate signal
2026-08-23
40+→
Partially confirmed
job postings count for role 'ml engineer' is forecast at 23 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 20-26 at 80% confidence (up from 20 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

f3815e48

Aug 17–23, 2026
Moderate signal
2026-08-23
40+→
Partially confirmed
job postings count for skill 'machine learning' is forecast at 29 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 24-34 at 80% confidence (up from 28 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

3d85babd

Aug 17–23, 2026
Moderate signal
2026-08-23
40+→
Partially confirmed
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