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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting rising demand for Python and cooling demand for Change Management — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

176 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 2 job postings mentioning databricks are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 0–5, 80% coverage) — up from 1 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

098dc505

Jul 13–19, 2026
Early signal
2026-07-19
19+→
Confirmed
Around 3 job postings mentioning docker are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 0–8, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 3 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

bc931020

Jul 13–19, 2026
Early signal
2026-07-19
19+→
Confirmed
Around 9 job postings mentioning program management are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 6–13, 80% coverage) — up from 7 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

7bcdac8b

Jul 13–19, 2026
Early signal
2026-07-19
34+→
Confirmed
Around 8 job postings for platform engineer roles are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 2–14, 80% coverage) — up from 7 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

ea551b44

Jul 13–19, 2026
Early signal
2026-07-19
35+→
Confirmed
Around 5 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 0–9, 80% coverage) — up from 3 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

31510620

Jul 13–19, 2026
Early signal
2026-07-19
32+→
Confirmed
Around 10 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 8–13, 80% coverage) — up from 8 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

edd40b7e

Jul 13–19, 2026
Early signal
2026-07-19
40+→
Confirmed
Around 10 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 7–13, 80% coverage) — up from 7 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

c9bd44b6

Jul 13–19, 2026
Early signal
2026-07-19
40+→
Confirmed
Around 8 job postings mentioning security are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 2–14, 80% coverage) — up from 7 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

816b976c

Jul 13–19, 2026
Early signal
2026-07-19
35+→
Confirmed
Around 9 job postings mentioning coaching are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 6–13, 80% coverage) — up from 8 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

78e346ae

Jul 13–19, 2026
Early signal
2026-07-19
40+→
Confirmed
Around 12 job postings mentioning anthropic api are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 8–15, 80% coverage) — up from 10 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

ebfc703b

Jul 13–19, 2026
Early signal
2026-07-19
34+→
Confirmed
Around 15 job postings for ml engineer roles are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 13–18, 80% coverage) — up from 12 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

8845896f

Jul 13–19, 2026
Moderate signal
2026-07-19
40+→
Confirmed
Around 18 job postings mentioning risk management are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 13–22, 80% coverage) — up from 12 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

1bab2669

Jul 13–19, 2026
Moderate signal
2026-07-19
40+→
Confirmed
Around 17 job postings mentioning stakeholder management are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 11–22, 80% coverage) — up from 11 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

c254cc94

Jul 13–19, 2026
Early signal
2026-07-19
40+→
Confirmed
Around 18 job postings mentioning machine learning are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 12–23, 80% coverage) — up from 13 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

ab048a9e

Jul 13–19, 2026
Early signal
2026-07-19
40+→
Confirmed
Around 16 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 12–21, 80% coverage) — up from 14 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

af67d26b

Jul 13–19, 2026
Early signal
2026-07-19
40+→
Confirmed
Around 22 job postings mentioning aws are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 14–30, 80% coverage) — up from 20 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

fb137dcf

Jul 13–19, 2026
Early signal
2026-07-19
40+→
Confirmed
Around 22 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 17–27, 80% coverage) — up from 18 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

7c36680e

Jul 13–19, 2026
Moderate signal
2026-07-19
40+→
Confirmed
Around 12 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 9–15, 80% coverage) — up from 10 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

55793b5e

Jul 13–19, 2026
Early signal
2026-07-19
40+→
Confirmed
Around 34 job postings mentioning cloud architecture are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 25–42, 80% coverage) — up from 30 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

ec93fc0b

Jul 13–19, 2026
Moderate signal
2026-07-19
40+→
Confirmed
Around 15 job postings mentioning ai literacy are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 13–18, 80% coverage) — up from 12 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

180276dc

Jul 13–19, 2026
Moderate signal
2026-07-19
40+→
Confirmed
Around 20 job postings mentioning python are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 19–22, 80% coverage) — up from 16 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

ec418ffc

Jul 13–19, 2026
Moderate signal
2026-07-19
40+→
Confirmed
Around 1 job postings mentioning change management are expected the week of Jul 6–12, 2026 (likely range: 0–4, 80% coverage) — down from 2 the week of Jun 8–14, 2026.

36c689a8

Jul 6–12, 2026
Early signal
2026-07-12
14+→
Confirmed
Around 1 job postings for agile coach roles are expected the week of Jul 6–12, 2026 (likely range: 0–5, 80% coverage) — down from 2 the week of Jun 8–14, 2026.

a51b3eaf

Jul 6–12, 2026
Early signal
2026-07-12
16+→
Confirmed
Around 4 job postings mentioning databricks are expected the week of Jul 6–12, 2026 (likely range: 0–8, 80% coverage) — up from 2 the week of Jun 8–14, 2026.

dc9c6a23

Jul 6–12, 2026
Early signal
2026-07-12
20+→
Confirmed
job postings count for role 'data scientist' is forecast at 8 in Jul 6–12, 2026, within 3-12 at 80% confidence (up from 6 in Jun 8–14, 2026).

935be9a8

Jul 6–12, 2026
Early signal
2026-07-12
32+→
Confirmed
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