Forecasts
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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting rising demand for Product Manager and cooling demand for Project Manager — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

649 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
Around 4 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 1–6, 80% coverage) — down from 6 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

6cd50190

Aug 3–9, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-09
11+→
Confirmed
Around 5 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 0–10, 80% coverage) — up from 4 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

79504374

Aug 3–9, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-09
16+→
Partially confirmed
Around 0 job postings mentioning postgresql are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 0–1, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

320815ed

Aug 3–9, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-09
1→
Confirmed
Around 1 job postings mentioning cloud architecture are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 0–2, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

e23de081

Aug 3–9, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-09
3→
Confirmed
Around 1 job postings mentioning docker are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 0–1, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

f1458631

Aug 3–9, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-09
2→
Confirmed
Around 2 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 0–3, 80% coverage) — up from 1 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

085802af

Aug 3–9, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-09
5→
Confirmed
Around 18 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 4–31, 80% coverage) — down from 34 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

d3a731e6

Aug 3–9, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-09
40+→
Confirmed
Around 2 job postings mentioning security are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 0–3, 80% coverage) — up from 1 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

59d745a2

Aug 3–9, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-09
5→
Partially confirmed
Around 1 job postings mentioning react are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 0–2, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

09bf7161

Aug 3–9, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-09
3→
Confirmed
Around 2 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 1–2, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 2 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

18ca1c8e

Aug 3–9, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-09
5→
Missed
Around 20 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 4–36, 80% coverage) — down from 40 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

919b61f1

Aug 3–9, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-09
40+→
Confirmed
Around 1 job postings for software engineer roles are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 0–3, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

63356c5c

Aug 3–9, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-09
5→
Confirmed
Around 0 job postings mentioning typescript are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 0–1, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

31cf4d56

Aug 3–9, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-09
1→
Confirmed
Around 1 job postings mentioning python are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 0–1, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

8dd09d6e

Aug 3–9, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-09
2→
Confirmed
Around 1 job postings mentioning ai literacy are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 0–2, 80% coverage) — up from 0 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

7c42b0bc

Aug 3–9, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-09
3→
Confirmed
Around 0 job postings mentioning azure are expected the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026 (likely range: 0–1, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026.

e36a0846

Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-02
1→
Missed
Around 1 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026 (likely range: 0–3, 80% coverage) — down from 4 the week of Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026.

fb91e22a

Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-02
4→
Confirmed
Around 1 job postings mentioning product ownership are expected the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026 (likely range: 0–3, 80% coverage) — down from 4 the week of Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026.

febd47b4

Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-02
4→
Missed
Around 1 job postings mentioning aws are expected the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026 (likely range: 0–2, 80% coverage) — down from 2 the week of Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026.

a6a3abd2

Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-02
3→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning kubernetes are expected the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026 (likely range: 0–1, 80% coverage) — down from 1 the week of Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026.

78105056

Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-02
1→
Missed
Around 2 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026 (likely range: 0–4, 80% coverage) — down from 5 the week of Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026.

f4ee7084

Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-02
5→
Missed
Around 4 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026 (likely range: 0–10, 80% coverage) — down from 12 the week of Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026.

7402a7bf

Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-02
12+→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning postgresql are expected the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026 (likely range: 0–1, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026.

c8129329

Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-02
1→
Missed
Around 1 job postings mentioning cloud architecture are expected the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026 (likely range: 0–2, 80% coverage) — down from 2 the week of Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026.

a9e9fab8

Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-02
3→
Missed
Around 1 job postings mentioning docker are expected the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026 (likely range: 0–1, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 1 the week of Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026.

2673ece7

Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-02
2→
Missed
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