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📡 Forecast Intelligence

What Happens Next?

Evidence-backed forecasts of where the job market is heading.

We don't just make predictions. We come back and check them.

Forecast · Nov 9–15, 2026~15 postings · Change Management + Project ManagementObservedForecastToday
📈

649

Forecasts published

All time

✓

386

Resolved forecasts

59% of total

◎

37%

Mean accuracy

Across resolved

✓

176

Confirmed

46% of resolved

◐

95

Partially confirmed

25% of resolved

✕

115

Missed

30% of resolved

🔒

0

Forecasts edited

Always published as-is

We're projecting cooling demand for Automation — 386 past forecasts scored so far at 37% mean accuracy.

How this is measured

Forecasts are immutable once published — never edited, never quietly withdrawn. When the target period arrives each one is scored against the observed count, and the misses stay on this page alongside the hits.

What's Coming

Most important active forecasts, by evidence — target week Nov 9–15, 2026

View all 263 active forecasts →
Change Management + Project Management↓ Cooling

Down from 75 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 35
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Process Improvement + Risk Management↓ Cooling

Down from 41 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 32
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Communication + Stakeholder Management↓ Cooling

Down from 61 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~15postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 38
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill_combination
View forecast →
Team Leadership↓ Cooling

Down from 93 postings the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.

~14postings

Expected Nov 9–15, 2026

Range (80% coverage)0 – 34
Evidence40+ records
Signal maturityEarly signal
Typeskill
View forecast →

Can SHIOS predict the market?

Forecast accuracy by resolution week

30%

Mean accuracy · 386 resolved

262728293031323334353738394041
Needs Improvement reliability

Forecast scorecard

Outcomes across 386 resolved forecasts

Confirmed
176 (46%)
Partially confirmed
95 (25%)
Missed
115 (30%)

We keep our misses on the table. Forecast quality is judged on all 386, not just the wins.

How forecasting works

Every forecast follows the same six steps

  1. 1Evidence — collect real signals from the market
  2. 2Trend — analyze recent weekly movement
  3. 3Forecast — project what's likely next, with a range
  4. 4Publish — lock the forecast as-is, no edits
  5. 5Reality — wait for the target period to arrive
  6. 6Score — grade accuracy, recalibrate confidence

115 forecasts · sorted by target week

Complete Forecast Register

AllActiveConfirmedPartially confirmedMissed
ForecastTargetConfidenceReview byEvidenceStatus
job postings count for skill 'automation' is forecast at 56 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 25-87 at 80% confidence (down from 86 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

77038782

Aug 17–23, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-23
40+→
Missed
job postings count for technology 'python' is forecast at 72 in Aug 17–23, 2026, within 24-119 at 80% confidence (down from 122 in Jul 20–26, 2026).

1e81fce6

Aug 17–23, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-23
40+→
Missed
Around 1 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Aug 10–16, 2026 (likely range: 0–2, 80% coverage) — down from 6 the week of Jul 13–19, 2026.

eb2be551

Aug 10–16, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-16
22+→
Missed
Around 0 job postings for agile coach roles are expected the week of Aug 10–16, 2026 (likely range: 0–0, 80% coverage) — down from 2 the week of Jul 13–19, 2026.

8247bda2

Aug 10–16, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-16
2→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning product ownership are expected the week of Aug 10–16, 2026 (likely range: 0–1, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jul 13–19, 2026.

4b9c25fa

Aug 10–16, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-16
5→
Missed
Around 1 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Aug 10–16, 2026 (likely range: 0–2, 80% coverage) — down from 6 the week of Jul 13–19, 2026.

4eec4741

Aug 10–16, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-16
17+→
Missed
Around 0 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Aug 10–16, 2026 (likely range: 0–1, 80% coverage) — down from 3 the week of Jul 13–19, 2026.

18ea17ad

Aug 10–16, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-16
11+→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning program management are expected the week of Aug 10–16, 2026 (likely range: 0–0, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jul 13–19, 2026.

085d7094

Aug 10–16, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-16
1→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning postgresql are expected the week of Aug 10–16, 2026 (likely range: 0–0, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jul 13–19, 2026.

29552e0a

Aug 10–16, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-16
1→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning docker are expected the week of Aug 10–16, 2026 (likely range: 0–0, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jul 13–19, 2026.

2ceedd57

Aug 10–16, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-16
2→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning cloud architecture are expected the week of Aug 10–16, 2026 (likely range: 0–0, 80% coverage) — down from 1 the week of Jul 13–19, 2026.

0584634c

Aug 10–16, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-16
4→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning data analysis are expected the week of Aug 10–16, 2026 (likely range: 0–1, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jul 13–19, 2026.

d37dd645

Aug 10–16, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-16
5→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning react are expected the week of Aug 10–16, 2026 (likely range: 0–0, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jul 13–19, 2026.

0041d6bf

Aug 10–16, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-16
3→
Missed
Around 3 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Aug 10–16, 2026 (likely range: 0–10, 80% coverage) — down from 28 the week of Jul 13–19, 2026.

148bcb35

Aug 10–16, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-16
40+→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning security are expected the week of Aug 10–16, 2026 (likely range: 0–1, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jul 13–19, 2026.

2130ba21

Aug 10–16, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-16
5→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Aug 10–16, 2026 (likely range: 0–1, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jul 13–19, 2026.

01ac661e

Aug 10–16, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-16
5→
Missed
Around 0 job postings for software engineer roles are expected the week of Aug 10–16, 2026 (likely range: 0–1, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jul 13–19, 2026.

61a5b553

Aug 10–16, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-16
5→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning typescript are expected the week of Aug 10–16, 2026 (likely range: 0–0, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jul 13–19, 2026.

d9cc6d20

Aug 10–16, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-16
2→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning python are expected the week of Aug 10–16, 2026 (likely range: 0–0, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jul 13–19, 2026.

1147e330

Aug 10–16, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-16
2→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning ai literacy are expected the week of Aug 10–16, 2026 (likely range: 0–0, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jul 13–19, 2026.

d54a4fc4

Aug 10–16, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-16
3→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning program management are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 0–0, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

df21d008

Aug 3–9, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-09
1→
Missed
Around 3 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 1–5, 80% coverage) — down from 4 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

f5596a06

Aug 3–9, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-09
8→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning machine learning are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 0–1, 80% coverage) — down from 1 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

0d311da2

Aug 3–9, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-09
1→
Missed
Around 2 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 1–2, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 2 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

18ca1c8e

Aug 3–9, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-09
5→
Missed
Around 0 job postings mentioning azure are expected the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026 (likely range: 0–1, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026.

e36a0846

Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026
Early signal
2026-08-02
1→
Missed
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